Check out the full 2022-23 Extended Winter Weather Forecast from The Farmer's Almanac below. November climate data across southeast Arizona. This is the third February in the last four years that the average monthly temperature was below normal. Copyright 2021 Scripps Media, Inc. All rights reserved. NOTE: The Winter 2022 Tier for MEMBERS and ANYONE INTERESTED is OPEN FOR JANUARY THROUGH END FEBRUARY WITH REDUCED SEASONAL TIER RATES. However there were isolated spots that recorded up to a three-quarters of an inch /0.75"/. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 100 on the 26th to a low of 39 on the 13th. ARIZONA WEATHER FORCE MAIN: Arizona Weather Force Office Main Page For updates. All NOAA. The Spring seasonal forecast for the area, issued February 17th, called for a 46% chance of above normal temperatures & a 42% chance of below normal precipitation. Weather; Archive; Weather Widget F. NWS Some of the storms produced heavy rain, especially on the 4th, 5th, 6th & 8th. The airport two-day total of 0.74" ranks as the 3rd wettest New Year's Eve/Day on record. "The eruption of Tonga back in January will likely not cool the climate, given it was an underwater volcano that ejected water vapor, rather than particulates, into the stratosphere; on the contrary, given water vapor is a greenhouse gas, it may have a warming impact on the climate over the next few years," Crawford explained. Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged from 0.75" to 2.50". This is tied with 2008 for the lowest Spring average dating back to 1946. While it's true that large volcanic eruptions have historically had a temporary cooling effect on earth's climate, that's not the case for the Tongan eruption. Our outlook has the highest confidence of a cold February in the Northern Plains and upper Midwest. We are going to show you their forecast for the upcoming winter, but first, a warning. Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, were mostly below a third of an inch (0.33") with isolated spots recording up to 1.00". Reach breaking news reporter Sam Burdette at sburdette@gannett.com or on Twitter @SuperSafetySam. The monthly average temperature of 85.8 is 1.1 BELOW normal ranks as the 38th warmest August on record. The February outlook for the area, issued by the Climate Prediction Center on January 31st, called for a 47% chance that temperatures would be above normal & 20% chance that temperatures would be below normal. A high minimum temperature of 59 on the 4th broke the old warm low for the date of 56 from 1946. Mostly cloudy. It will definitely seem like it in January though, but we still have February, March, and April left, that of which can easily add more storms into the forecast. But there is a new ocean anomaly emerging that will also play its part. There were five days that recorded freezing low temperatures at the airport which is up from the three that occurred in the previous winter but down five from the 1991-2020 normal period. (Weather station: Payson, USA). In northern Arizona, its snowy and chilly, though usually still quite dry. The average yearly temperature, through the end of June, of 68.5 is 1.3 above normal and ranks as the 7th warmest on record. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 44% chance that they will end up above normal and a 23% chance that they will end up below normal. The states climate is varied and unique, featuring many different biomes and environments. Click Here To Join The Season Tier, Join The Main Arizona Weather Force Facebook Group (50 percent delivery time) You can join the main AZWF page as well through that group. 12News+ showcases live video throughout the day for breaking news, local news, weather and even an occasional moment of Zen showcasing breathtaking sights from across Arizona. The December 2021 forecast went exactly as thought, word for word in both regions. The Farmers' Almanac is out with their Extended Winter Outlook for 2021-2022 and is calling for a "Frosty Flip-Flop Winter". But if it weakens, that could spell a colder winter for some. This cold front brought a cooler air mass with morning lows on the 25th being in the upper 30's to mid 40's. National Weather Service NWS Tucson Arizona 520 North Park Ave, Suite 304 Tucson, AZ 85719 (520) 670-6526 Comments? Includes Daily Risk of Precipitation, High/Low/Average Temperatures, Heating/Cooling Degree Days and Growing Degree Days, Transition Day Start or End of a Risky Period. Not all risky days will have rain/snow. The forecast panned out well for precipitation as it was drier than normal while February came in cooler than normal thanks to the average monthly low temperature being 4.7 below normal. The forecast for precipitation is a 49% chance that they will be up below normal and a 18% chance that they will end up above normal. Additionally the airport monthly total extended the streak of below normal rainfall for March to "18" straight. Since we never quite know what to expect, this upcoming season couldn't possibly catch us off-guard right? The last seven days of the month was dry with below normal high and low temperatures. With record to near-record heat blistering Colorado on Monday, you might think the smoke in the air is from a Colorado wildfire. Weather Forecast Office. Please Contact Us. On top of that, conditions change so rapidly from week to week that making predictions is as good as visiting a fortune teller. RELATED: La Nina is here and it's not good news for Arizona's drought, The Official NOAA Winter Outlook for 2022-2023 has been released and as of right now the odds are slightly tilted towards below normal precipitation and above normal temperatures for the desert southwest. However, this ingredient in the forecast cannot be predicted until winter is in progress. For the first time since 2010, September recorded more triple digit high temperatures (8) than August did (7). The second Pacific storm of the month moved across the area on the 12th bringing with it widespread valley rain and mountain snow. Add the current city. Los Angeles had near 9.50 of rainfall during the month alone with a normal amount of 2.48, which is unprecedented and will be the third highest amount during the month of December since records began, only behind 1989 and 2010. There were 23 days in which the daily low temperature was in the 80s. About the author Related Posts Farmers' Almanac Staff According to the CPC, there is a 66% chance that La Nia conditions could last from November 2021 to January 2022. Additionally this is the fifteenth April in the past seventeen that the airport recorded below normal rainfall. Our weather forecast can give you a great sense of what weather to expect in Arizona in February 2024.. Heading into the last month of the 2022 Monsoon the September monthly outlook, issued by the Climate Prediction Center, called for "leaning above normal" for precipitation and temperature. Nearly 10,000 power outages were reported in Arizona Wednesday as a winter storm passed through the state, one of many places in the U.S. dealing with winter Essentially, the formula uses sunspot activity andthe effect the moon has on the earth to be able to predict weather about two years in advance. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 36% chance that they will end up above normal and a 31% chance that they will end up below normal. The last year in which Tucson waited until April to set/tied a record temperature was back in 2010. Sign Up for the Morning Brief - a weekday newsletter infused with your forecast, fun facts, articles and bite-sized nuggets to energize your day. Click on hotel for more details. How do you feel about the upcoming milder, drier (especially drier than this last monsoon season, hoo boy) winter we might have? The average monthly low temperature of 72.4 established a new monthly record, eclipsing the old record of 72.3 from 2018. There are indications that weak cutoff systems under the raging jet could bring more precipitation to Tucson than say even Phoenix, but the amount just doesnt look so high, but bears watching for that area sometime mid-month. What are some fun things to do in the winter in Arizona? This ranks as the 16th driest first half of the water year period on record. The arrows point to the cooler than average water in the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean, indicative of La Nia. The free 12News+ app from 12News lets users stream live events including daily newscasts like "Today in AZ" and "12 News" and our daily lifestyle program, "Arizona Midday"on Roku and Amazon Fire TV. Overall, the almanac says it will be wetter than normal, the precipitation beginning in October and extending right through November. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration February climate data and outlook across southeast Arizona. Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, varied widely across the metro area with totals ranging from 0.20" to 1.75" with localized higher amounts to 2.50". In winter 2020-21, the polar vortex weakened, and even though La Nia was in place, a major cold outbreak contributed to the 19th-coldest February on record in the Lower 48. Friday, April 08, 2022 Flagstaff Weather -- April 8, 2022 Student forecaster Julia Castro has the latest on the weekend weather in northern Arizona. This is the 2nd most number of days during Summer on record but well behind the record of 33 days set in 2020. The Climate Prediction Center forecast for Fall 2022 called for a 46% chance of above normal temperatures and a 22% chance of below normal temperatures. So, what about this month? The Tucson International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 1.27" which is around a third of an inch above normal and ranks as the 37th wettest December on record. Temperature extremes ranged from a high of 105 on May 15th to a low of 33 on March 8th. Prognostic Discussion for Long-Lead Seasonal Outlooks. Managing Editor Sandi Duncan says for our region, in the North Central . Southern Arizona is a mixed bag in the winter sometimes you can get a nice, mild winter or a chilly, snowy one! Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, were mostly below a third of an inch /0.33"/. With a colder air mass in place, high temperatures were in the 50's from the 12th through 16th with daily lows in the mid 20's to mid 30's from the 13th through the 17th. If you're looking forward to snow, mark January on your calendars. The periodical says it. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 77 on the 7th to a low of 31 on the 2nd. The average yearly temperature, through the end of May, of 64.4 is 0.9 above normal and ranks as the 10th warmest on record, tied with 2000. This is the 7th June on record in which the monthly low temperature did not fall below 65. The Winter seasonal forecast for the area, issued November 18th, called for a 41% chance of above normal temperatures & a 48% chance of below normal precipitation. IsArizonaa good place to visit in the winter? Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged widely from 0.10" to 0.75 ". January 2, 2022 at 7:59 am January 2022 Weather Pattern Forecast For Arizona; Opposite of December 2021, But Colder by Weather Welcome back to the site after the holiday week. Flagstaff, AZ Winter Weather Forecast | AccuWeather Today WinterCast Hourly Daily Radar MinuteCast Monthly Air Quality Health & Activities Winter Storm Warning Snow and Ice Outlook 12 - 18. WeatherTAB Flagstaff, Arizona Help C F. Could Arizona be in for another dry winter, leading to even worse drought conditions? We are already at 10 for Los Angeles, which shows we are on track here in the Desert Southwest with that number not even close to being a traditional La Nina.

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