Although Chastain didnt have top 10 green flag speed at Auto Club in 2022, he did at both Darlington races, Michigan and Homestead. No wins yet. NASCAR Mailbox: Did We Get Backstage Passes to Kyle Larson Show at Auto Club? begin to evolve, Busch could make a serious statement with a second win in as many weeks, and with Top-5 finishes in this race each of the past two years, it's certainly within his grasp. A lot has changed since then, so take those statistics with a grain of salt, but the data from the last two years at these two tracks is very relevant. Fantasy Live has a new Bonus Picks section this year. Comments from first time commenters are automatically held for moderation by Frontstretch staff. Michigan Fantasy Spin At Michigan, Tyler Reddick has a less than appealing track record but on Sunday, look for him to be a contender. Jones was the best driver in the four races at Auto Club, Darlington and Homestead, which are universally known for their high tire wear, in 2022, but it was actually Almirola who posted the best average finish of the group in these races. Busch has been one of the most consistent drivers at Michigan. Unfortunately, that was one of Stenhouses few bright spots of the season. In spring 2019, Larson finished 14th, but I thought he was better than his result. Fantasy sports doesnt sleep, and neither does Fantrax, with seasons running 365 days a year. Before locking in any NASCAR DFS picks for the 2023 Pala Casino 400, be sure to check out the optimal NASCAR at Fontana DFS strategy and advice from SportsLine's Mike McClure. That means its the final time we get to play on DraftKings with this layout. Visit SportsLine now to see DFS millionaire Mike McClure's complete driver pool for DraftKings and FanDuel, and cash in big on NASCAR DFS. ET on USA. They look at their drivers and see one or two allocations left and they think, I am low on allocations with that driver, I need to save him. Do not do that!!! Of those, I view Kansas to be the single most similar track and at that venue in addition to finishing 3rd, Busch had the best Total Speed Ranking. Drivers also can earn .45 for each fastest lap and .25 for each lap they lead. He might. Get a preview of the field with our Pennzoil 400 odds, and be sure to check back later in the week for a full race preview and, Pennzoil 400: Las Vegas Picks, Odds & Race Preview, NASCAR Cup Series Odds: Busch Makes First Move, Climbs Into No. In the race, Reddick finished 8th in Stage #2, had an 11.6 average running position and was running right around 8th until he got loose in front of Joey Logano during a restart on lap 186 which caused a multi-car wreck. Absolutely, but not likely. Now without further ado, lets goooo!!!! Michigan DraftKings DFS Cash Game Picks Ryan Blaney ($9300): Blaney is in a great cash-game spot here, priced down from the top tier at only $9300. A former Vegas bookmaker, Each of his last nine Michigan appearances have resulted in top 10 finishes, and he's led at some point in seven of those races. The offense is ranked 120th in the league while the defense is ranked 62nd. All other trademarks are the property of their respective owners. On Saturday, Erik will start from back in 23rd and I really like his top 10 finishing potential with that place differential potential. All of the driver values come from the league run by ESPN. BONUS TOURNAMENT PLAY: Bubba Wallace ($6,400) If youre looking to get off the low-dollar chalk, or want to save some cap from one of the mid-$7,000 drivers, Bubba Wallace is a tournament play to consider. Before setting your NASCAR DFS strategy for the 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 on sites like DraftKings and FanDuel, be sure tocheck out the optimal NASCAR at Michigan DFS strategy and lineup advice from SportsLine's Mike McClure. Your email address will not be published. The gentlemen will start their engines at Michigan International Speedway today, and the lineup is set, with Bubba Wallace sitting in pole position for the first time in his career. Wallace was the only driver to go above 190 mph in the final round of qualifying. Christopher Bell, Kyle Busch, Joey Logano, and Austin Cindric round out the top 5. The damage didnt look severe, but it did cause him to start in the rear of the field on Sunday in a backup car. Kyle Busch rode into the Winner's Circle last weekend, and sportsbooks are tabbing him as the pre-race favorite to do so again at this week's Pennzoil 400 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway. I have set up another Free FanDuel contest for our readers to allow everyone to play this nutty little game that adds a lot of excitement to NASCAR races for casual and diehard fans alike. Even if he doesnt, he should still do well on DraftKings. The rest of the drivers are all in play this week. 10 Smithfield Ford ranked second in average running position (behind Jones) among drivers in this group at high tire wear races in 2022, which, combined with the best average finish, suggests he should be shorter than the other two drivers listed at +500 and priced closer to Jones. As far as Michigan goes, Jones record is decent: a career average finish of 15.5 over six career starts and only one top 10a 3rd-place finish back in 2017. I would be surprised to see him finish this afternoon outside of the top 10. I will use one of my allocations with Rowdy Sunday. The gentlemen will start their engines at Michigan International Speedway today, and the lineup is set, with Bubba Wallace sitting in pole position for the first time in his career. 1 Trackhouse Racing Team Chevrolet didnt finish well in the first Darlington race, but he placed eighth in the Southern 500 and second at Homestead. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. ($7,100)Career at Auto Club: 9 starts, 0 wins, 1 top five, 2 top 10sAverage finish at Auto Club: 17.6. The only other 2-mile track that used to be on the schedule is Auto Club Speedway. McClure has won over $2 million in his career as a daily Fantasy pro, and his NASCAR DFS driver pool, projections and advice can help you score a big win. His average finish at Michigan (5.4) is eight spots better than his average start (13.4) dating back to 2019. He also ranked 11th-fastest in that category in the Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte. And although he's yet to have a standout performance at Michigan, you could have said the same about Reddick at Road America and The Brickyard, and he went out and won both of those races. In the results column in the last three races on this sub-track type, Busch has results of 4th (Las Vegas), 3rd (Kansas) and 2nd (Charlotte). We are the most customizable, easy-to-use, and feature-rich platform in the industry, offering the greatest fantasy experience for your dynasty, keeper, redraft, and best ball leagues. We need to save one allocation with the No. McClure is also targeting an undervalued driver set to return plenty of value. This chart measures speed by segments in each race. This #12 Ford has finished 6th or better in six of the eight 550hp package races this season and has the 5th-most fastest laps here at Michigan over the last two years. Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results. Alex Bowman 3. This is race It can be tricky picking the right five drivers each week, but I thought I could offer some advice for tips and drivers to use for this weeks race in Michigan. In 2019, Busch had a great season and had results of 5th and 6th. Justin Carter's DraftKings DFS lineup picks for the NASCAR Xfinity Series Production Alliance Group 300 at Auto Club Speedway. In the race, Reddick made an unexpected pit stop on lap 25 for a tire issue, and then later on lap 143 he had contact with Preece which damaged the #8. The top 10 in drivers standings is a great place to start looking for drivers for this weeks race. Fantasy sports are one of the most popular activities among sports fans, and NASCAR has it own fun fantasy sports system. Please keep in mind that comments are moderated according to our comment policy. Micah Roberts revealed his NASCAR picks for the Pala Casino 400 2023 on Sunday at 3:30 p.m. 6-keys: media/spln/nascar/reg/free/stories, at ET . In race #1 2020, Busch finished 9th in Stage #1, 6th in Stage #2, had a 6.6 average running position, recorded the 5th best Total Speed Ranking and then finished 5th overall. With an AFP this poor and a cost of 23.1, Newman would just a poor place to invest almost one-fourth of your budget. The question is, what is his upside? Top 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 NASCAR DFS picks For NASCAR at Michigan, McClure is high on Kyle Busch ($10,500 on DraftKings and $13,500 on 11 car Sunday. At Auto Club, the other big 2.0-mile oval visited earlier this year, Reddick had the field covered until he had a flat tire and had Byron crash into him. Also, I will be hosting a free NASCAR DraftKings league that will run each week for the Cup Series only. There are 200 laps scheduled for the FireKeepers Casino 400 on Sunday, which means were looking at 50 DraftKings FPTS up for grabs for laps led. He earned the 8th best driver rating and had an 11th place average running position. That came just four weeks after his first win -- and he also had a runner-up in between -- so Reddick is streaking heading into Michigan. ET on Sunday. Michigan is one of my favorite tracks. Daniel Suarez 6. Its also the closest to my hometown. He's only sharing his picks and NASCAR DFS driver pool and top picks here. He wont be totally low-owned, but my model gives him a solid 21% chance to end up in the optimal lineup. Anybody who has followed his picks has seen huge returns. Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event. The FireKeepers Casino 400 can be seen Sunday at 3 p.m. The first pick every team should make this week is to pick up Denny Hamlin. Michigan Track History Tyler Reddick has finished worse in each new Michigan race of his, and I think that trend will end. Michigan International Speedway is the venue for the 23rd race of the NASCAR Cup Series season (3:00 p.m. For NASCAR at Michigan, McClure is high on Kyle Busch ($10,500 on DraftKings and $13,500 on FanDuel). ET, USA). However, I do like being underweight on him in tournament formats. Fantasy Fallout: With Gavin Lux Out, Could A Sleeper Emerge? It might also reward your DraftKings account if he finishes well and records fastest laps. Now for the video breakdown! But that happens sometimes at superspeedways; you cant really control whether your driver will get lucky or not. And yes, Id be remiss if I failed to disclose that my wifes bet on Ricky Stenhouse to win the Daytona 500 at 40-1 NASCAR odds did most of my bankrolls heavy-lifting. Michigan | DFS NASCAR Fantasy Driver-by-Driver Breakdown (DraftKings & FanDuel) Watch on Optimal Lineup According to Jordans Projections The optimal Auto Club DraftKings DFS Tournament Picks. Top 125 Starting Pitcher Rankings for 2023 Fantasy Baseball, Fantasy Baseball Dynasty League Strategy for 2023, NL Spring Training Battles with Fantasy Relevance, 10 Players Most Likely to See Their ADP Change Based on Spring Training Performance, FantraxHQ 2023 Fantasy Baseball Draft Kit, Top 300 Fantasy Baseball Dynasty Rankings, H2H Points League Strategy for 2023 Fantasy Baseball, Top 200 2022 FYPD Prospect Rankings for 2023 Dynasty Drafts, Compete for Cash Prizes in a Fantrax Classic Draft Contest, Get ready for the season with a mock draft on Fantrax.com, Create your own league or join an existing league with Fantrax Commissioner. The NASCAR Cup Series will travel to the Irish Hills of Michigan to compete at Michigan International Speedway. The email address is not publicly visible or shared. Despite sitting in 11th place in NASCAR standings, Reddick's Fantasy production indicates he's an elite driver. It only takes one poor finish to ruin your week in fantasy NASCAR, and by steering clear of Ryan Newman, this should help your chances of avoiding a poor finish. Turning my attention to NASCAR odds for Sundays Pala Casino 400 (3:30 p.m. Did You Notice? This type of track suits Reddick very well. He has finished his last nine races at the track in the top-10. Austin Dillon ($8,000) If the obvious chalk plays in this price range this weekend, I think Austin Dillon is the safest, so thats why Im writing him up. That actually wasnt a huge setback for Reddick, but after he spun on lap 194 while running in 11th and no caution came out you could stick a fork in him. Like Blaney, his 30th place starting position is not representative of his true speed. WebFree nascar fantasy rankings, advice, picks and tips. Reddick will start from back in 14th for Sundays FireKeepers Casino 400, but has legitimate top 10 finishing potential (and will be pushing a little harder with the Playoffs on the line these next two races). Busch should do better; after all, Tyler Reddick had great speed in this car in 2022 (more on him later). You can see who it is, and every other pick, right here. Micah Roberts revealed his NASCAR picks for the Pala Casino 400 2023 on Sunday at 3:30 p.m. 2 Spot, Pala Casino 400: Fontana Picks, Odds & Race Preview, Daytona 500 Picks, Predictions, and Race Preview, Duel at Daytona Odds, Picks, & Predictions: Setting the Grid for Sunday, March 2023 Sports Calendar: Let the Madness Begin. The Preview Show crew predicts the top fantasy picks and bad bets at Michigan International Speedway. Last year, Larson started on the pole, finished 2nd in Stage #1, 3rd in Stage #2, led a race high 70 laps, had a 3.2 average running position, earned the best driver rating and then finished 3rd when the checkered flag waved. Hamlin runs up front and scores very well in Fantasy Live one week and then he looks like complete garbage the next week. Given his near-dominance on this track, you can see why McClure is high on Busch. How to make 2022 NASCAR at Michigan picks The model is also targeting two other drivers with 2022 NASCAR at Michigan odds of 12-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag. I view Kansas as the most similar track, and at that venue he finished 2nd, led 29 laps and had the 4th best Total Speed Ranking. To view this ifantasyrace advantage content log in or join the site, Top Tier Elite Picks > Front Runners Rankings > Mid Pack Predictions > The Low Tier, Click to share on Twitter (Opens in new window), Click to share on Facebook (Opens in new window), Click to email a link to a friend (Opens in new window), FanDuel Las Vegas #2 2022 NASCAR Driver Points. This site .css-110721q{color:#0079F0;}contains commercial content. Kyle Busch Photo by Chris Graythen/Getty Images. Do not worry about allocations anymore. These times can be a tricky thing to sift through at times, but once you find what you are looking for, they can be extremely useful. Hes ended up 9th or better in five of his last nine Michigan starts and has ended up inside the top 10 in ten of the last twelve Stages here. Blaney starts 24th because he tagged the wall slightly during his qualifying lap. In 2022, Stenhouse had the seventh-quickest green-flag speed and earned a top 10 by races end. Copyright 2023 Action Network Inc, All Rights Reserved.Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | AdChoices. FantasyCPR.com is the #1 Fantasy NASCAR site Fantasy NASCAR Picks Recap of the Pure Michigan 400 Welcome back to our fantasy NASCAR coverage for the 2015 season. Hes low enough salary-wise that he should hit value if he earns a good result on Sunday. Over the combined events, Reddick has the 2nd best driver rating and the 7th best Total Speed Ranking. That was no fluke. Michigan International Speedway is a huge 2-mile track that produces some very high speeds heading into the corners, but theres really not a lot of action going on on the track outside of the restarts, so it can be a little boring (and usually has just one car dominating most of the day). In summer 2019 in his next most recent race, Larson finished 3rd and had a 13.3 average running position. In 2020 #2, Busch started 16th, but he had no trouble advancing in the running order en route to his 4th place finish. Pay no attention to Ross Chastains average finish at Fontana. Last year, NASCAR bettors had Michigan DraftKings NASCAR Picks, Projections, & Strategy Breakdown, go here and subscribe to my YouTube channel, Homestead DraftKings NASCAR Fantasy Picks & Driver Projections (Dixie Vodka 400), Kansas 2 DraftKings NASCAR Fantasy Picks & Driver Projections (Hollywood Casino 400), Darlington 2 DraftKings NASCAR Fantasy Picks & Driver Projections (Cook Out Southern 500), Daytona 2 DraftKings NASCAR Fantasy Picks, Projections, & Strategy Breakdown (Coke Zero Sugar 400), Watkins Glen DraftKings NASCAR Fantasy Picks & Driver Projections (Go Bowling At The Glen), Richmond 2 DraftKings NASCAR Fantasy Picks & Driver Projections (Federated Auto Parts 400), Sharps Moving NASCAR Betting Lines For Auto Club Speedway Race. Heres my NASCAR DFS picks and strategy for Sundays FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan. Hamlin should be a good pick at Michigan. The following are a couple of DFS lineups I plan to play in GPP contests. Obviously Larson is the favorite to dominate Sundays race, but Chase Elliott has shown flashes of similar speed in this 550 hp package this season. This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged. In that contest, the top score was 291.4 and won $300 with race winner Tyler Reddick, Cindric, Michael McDowell, Bubba Wallace, Harrison Burton, and Gilliland. As far as DraftKings scoring, the rules are the same as last season: 0.45 points for each fastest lap and 0.25 for each lap led. If he does, hell score well on DraftKings. At Michigan, it is incredibly difficult to pass the leader, so its hard to imagine Larson not dominating at least the first half of the FireKeepers Casino 400 on Sunday afternoon. Kyle Busch is looking for back-to-back wins early in this NASCAR campaign, and sportsbooks like him to do so, putting him atop the Pennzoil 400 odds board ahead of race day. And, as always, good luck! Ty Dillon ($6,600) starts all the way back in in 33rd position at Michigan and finished in the 20th spot there in June. No team has won more Cup Series races at Michigan than RFK's six victories. ET Fantasy Football. Watch more top videos, highlights, and B/R original content, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. Kyle Busch heads into this week as the favorite (+600) after a convincing victory in the Pala Casino 400 last weekend. Justin Carter's DraftKings DFS lineup picks for the NASCAR Xfinity Series Production Alliance Group 300 at Auto Club Speedway. Larsons been the premiere performer at minimal wear intermediates this year (Las Vegas, Kansas and Charlotte), and if it wasnt for a late caution at Kansas he would be 3 for 3 at reaching First up is data from the 550hp package this year. Try selecting a different location. The NASCAR Cup Series schedule continues on Sunday with the 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan International Speedway. Still, this is another race to play DraftKings Daily Fantasy Sports, so of course us degenerates are going to be interested and watching closely on Sunday. Call 1-800-GAMBLER. GARAGE DRIVER: TYLER REDDICK (3): Reddick will have some momentum Sunday after his win at the Brickyard last week. ET on Sunday, and Keselowski could be an appealing NASCAR DFS pick despite this season's struggles. Reddick was especially strong at the 1.5-mile ovals of Kansas and Charlotte, and overall he comes in sixth in my FLAGS rankings at similar tracks. Ricky Stenhouse I expect to have another chance to win there. I wrote his remarks in my notes and highlighted PLAY BELL AT MICHIGAN. He comes from the same school of racing as Kyle Larson and Tyler Reddick. The fifth and final spot on a fantasy team may not seem that important, but I believe selecting a good fifth driver is what separates good teams from bad teams. Now, the model simulated the 2023 Pala Casino 400 10,000 times. Kyle Larson ($11,500) Its always risky to roll with a high-priced pole sitter in DraftKings cash lineups, but this is Kyle Larson were talking about. But this is the NextGen car, which he and his team have shown no ability to improve or master this late into the year. call 1-800-327-5050 or visit https://helplinema.org to speak with a trained specialist free and confidentially 24/7. Fifth Driver: Brian Vickers (16.4): Rounding out the team with Vickers offers the best chance for a scoring a top 15 finish for driver in this price range.Total Team Value: 99.4. Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw huge returns. At Auto Club, the other big 2.0-mile oval visited earlier this year, Reddick had the field covered until he had a flat tire and had Byron crash into him. Before locking in any NASCAR DFS picks for the 2023 Pala Casino 400, be sure to check out the optimal NASCAR at Fontana DFS strategy and advice from Since Auto Club is so wide, it may reward Chastains aggressive driving style should he slide around and dive deep under cars. Given his recent form and underlying metrics, Reddick would be a steal at his listed NASCAR DFS price tags. document.getElementById("comment").setAttribute( "id", "a29234cc541813c362a6ef1216053161" );document.getElementById("fe53143262").setAttribute( "id", "comment" ); Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. WebNASCAR Fantasy Live is the only NASCAR fantasy game to offer live scoring! In 2018 his finishes were 3rd and 4th. 16 Kaulig Racing driver has a pair of eighth-place finishes while running for JTG, in 2014 and 2016. There have been eight intermediate races with this package that we can analyze from this season: Homestead, Las Vegas, Kansas, both Atlanta races, both Pocono races, and Charlotte. The NASCAR Cup Series is headed to the Irish Hills of Michigan this weekend for the FireKeepers Casino 400 on Sunday afternoon. The order is not based on the highest projected fantasy totals, but rather by the value of each driver. Reddick has two wins this year and he will have a good chance to add a third to his playoff resume Sunday. Ill note, it wasnt a huge issue, but it certainly didnt help. Tyson Walker has led the Spartans this season with 14.6 points per game, Bell can win this race. ET on FOX. If a driver posts some fast laps in practice and qualifies up front, he needs to be in our lineups. Now, the model simulated the 2023 Pala Casino 400 10,000 times. Michigan Track History Kyle Larson has been elite at Michigan. Bell ranks third in my newly developed FLAGS rankings at similar tracks, and he starts on the front row alongside Toyota stablemate Bubba Wallace. The starting lineup would be set by the rulebook if qualifying gets rained out, which is likely the metric formula used predominantly in 2020. The DraftKings NASCAR Cup Series AutoTrader EchoPark Automotive 500 at Texas slate locks at 3:30 p.m. Enjoy the FREE content that this site offers each week? I probably wouldnt pair these two together in one lineup, though, unless youre not including Larson in it. and give one of our public leagues a go. Here are the drivers and latest NASCAR odds included in Group D at Caesars: Erik Jones: -105. Kyle Larson 2. The emotion of Well, he just cant be this bad runs into the statistical evidence that Well, yes, he can.. 11:01 am ET, check out the optimal NASCAR at Michigan DFS strategy and lineup advice from SportsLine's Mike McClure, sharing his picks and NASCAR DFS driver pool and top picks here, You can see who it is, and every other pick, right here, Visit SportsLine now to see DFS millionaire Mike McClure's complete driver pool for DraftKings and FanDuel, NASCAR changes package for short tracks, road courses, 2023 Pennzoil 400 predictions, odds, sims, picks, Crash Course: Kyle Busch starts his second act, NASCAR Power Rankings: Kyle Busch flies to first, Top NASCAR experts reveal 2023 Pala Casino 400 picks, NASCAR DFS: FireKeepers Casino 400 picks for Michigan, Rowdy flies to the top of the charts at Fontana, NASCAR changes rules for short tracks, road courses, Chastain signs long-term deal to remain Trackhouse, Alex Bowman wins Daytona 500 pole for the third time, Alex Bowman signs with Hendrick through 2026, Durant Era in Phoenix has the air of inevitability. Picking Denny Hamlin for your team will not guarantee a win in your fantasy league, but picking him will help your chances of not losing since most of the other team owners will more than likely have him as well. Larson is a three-time winner at Michigan and Hendrick Motorsports has had the strongest cars all season.

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